MLB Results

MLB Model Results — July 14, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

OverviewTop PlaysPitchersAnalytics LabHittersHome Run ThreatsIntelMatchup HistoryWeatherResultsStadiums
← July 12, 2026Back to Results ArchiveJuly 16, 2026 →
Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — July 14, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

1
Games covered
18
Hitters evaluated
2
Pitchers evaluated
July 14, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

RankPlayerTeamMatchupHR ProbabilityResult
#1Kyle SchwarberPhiladelphia Philliesvs Dylan Cease31.0%No Home Run
#2Yordan AlvarezHouston Astrosvs Cristopher Sánchez24.1%No Home Run
#3Mike Trout—vs Cristopher Sánchez18.5%No Home Run
#4Max Muncy—vs Dylan Cease17.9%No Home Run
#5Junior Caminero—vs Cristopher Sánchez17.2%No Home Run
#6Juan Soto—vs Dylan Cease16.7%No Home Run
#7Riley Greene—vs Cristopher Sánchez16.7%No Home Run
#8Freddie Freeman—vs Dylan Cease16.4%No Home Run
#9Shea Langeliers—vs Cristopher Sánchez16.4%No Home Run
#10CJ AbramsWashington Nationalsvs Dylan Cease12.9%No Home Run
#11Ben RiceNew York Yankeesvs Cristopher Sánchez11.7%No Home Run
#12Drake BaldwinAtlanta Bravesvs Dylan Cease11.7%No Home Run
#13Andy Pages—vs Dylan Cease10.7%No Home Run
#14Brandon MarshPhiladelphia Philliesvs Dylan Cease10.6%No Home Run
#15Bobby Witt Jr.—vs Cristopher Sánchez10.4%No Home Run
Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Dylan CeaseNational League All-Stars8.53-5.5
Cristopher SánchezAmerican League All-Stars6.12-4.1
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

PlayerTeamMatchupHit ProbabilityResult
Yordan AlvarezHouston Astrosvs Cristopher Sánchez58.5%Hit
Juan Soto—vs Dylan Cease58.4%Hit
Shea Langeliers—vs Cristopher Sánchez58.2%Hit
Kyle SchwarberPhiladelphia Philliesvs Dylan Cease57.2%No Hit
Brandon MarshPhiladelphia Philliesvs Dylan Cease56.9%No Hit
Ben RiceNew York Yankeesvs Cristopher Sánchez54.5%Hit
Junior Caminero—vs Cristopher Sánchez54.0%No Hit
Bobby Witt Jr.—vs Cristopher Sánchez53.0%No Hit
CJ AbramsWashington Nationalsvs Dylan Cease52.7%No Hit
Mike Trout—vs Cristopher Sánchez52.5%No Hit
Freddie Freeman—vs Dylan Cease52.5%No Hit
Riley Greene—vs Cristopher Sánchez52.4%No Hit
Ernie Clement—vs Cristopher Sánchez51.6%No Hit
Andy Pages—vs Dylan Cease51.4%No Hit
Max Muncy—vs Dylan Cease50.8%No Hit
Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Biggest Surprises

Explore More

Related MLB Pages

Leaderboards for July 14, 2026MLB TeamsAll MLB PlayersMLB ProjectionsMLB WeatherMLB Home