MLB Results — June 19, 2026

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — June 19, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Games covered

377

Hitters evaluated

Pitchers evaluated

June 19, 2026

Slate date

Home Run Threats

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

Rank	Player	Team	Matchup	HR Probability	Result
#1	Brandon Lowe	Pittsburgh Pirates	vs Kyle Freeland	20.3%	No Home Run
#2	Hunter Goodman	Colorado Rockies	vs Bubba Chandler	19.7%	No Home Run
#3	Marcell Ozuna	Pittsburgh Pirates	vs Kyle Freeland	19.0%	No Home Run
#4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Toronto Blue Jays	vs Ben Brown	18.8%	No Home Run
#5	Seiya Suzuki	Chicago Cubs	vs Kevin Gausman	18.3%	No Home Run
#6	Cal Raleigh	—	vs Ranger Suarez	18.2%	No Home Run
#7	Christian Walker	—	vs Tanner Bibee	18.0%	No Home Run
#8	Pete Alonso	—	vs Roki Sasaki	17.9%	Home Run
#9	Colson Montgomery	—	vs Tarik Skubal	17.4%	No Home Run
#10	Byron Buxton	—	vs Michael Soroka	17.3%	No Home Run
#11	Jake Burger	—	vs Randy Vásquez	16.4%	No Home Run
#12	Austin Riley	Atlanta Braves	vs Jacob Misiorowski	16.1%	No Home Run
#13	Nick Kurtz	Athletics	vs José Soriano	15.9%	No Home Run
#14	Shea Langeliers	—	vs José Soriano	15.9%	No Home Run
#15	Gunnar Henderson	Baltimore Orioles	vs Roki Sasaki	15.5%	Home Run

Strikeouts

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Pitcher	Opponent	Projected Ks	Actual Ks	Difference
Cam Schlittler	Cincinnati Reds	6.5	13	+6.5
Jacob deGrom	San Diego Padres	6.0	9	+3.0
Tarik Skubal	Chicago White Sox	5.9	8	+2.1
Kevin Gausman	Chicago Cubs	5.6	3	-2.6
Michael Soroka	Minnesota Twins	5.6	0	-5.6
Jacob Misiorowski	Atlanta Braves	5.5	7	+1.5
José Soriano	Athletics	5.5	6	+0.5	On Target
Bryce Miller	Boston Red Sox	5.5	7	+1.5
Tanner Bibee	Houston Astros	5.3	7	+1.7
Ben Brown	Toronto Blue Jays	5.3	4	-1.3
Landen Roupp	Miami Marlins	5.2	7	+1.8
Griffin Jax	Washington Nationals	5.2	5	-0.2	On Target
Bubba Chandler	Colorado Rockies	5.2	1	-4.2
Ranger Suarez	Seattle Mariners	5.0	5	+0.0	On Target
Roki Sasaki	Baltimore Orioles	4.9	6	+1.1

Hit Probability

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Player	Team	Matchup	Hit Probability	Result
Colt Keith	Detroit Tigers	vs Erick Fedde	58.1%	No Hit
George Springer	—	vs Ben Brown	57.5%	Hit
Anthony Volpe	—	vs Rhett Lowder	57.2%	Hit
Christian Yelich	—	vs Martín Pérez	57.1%	Hit
Dillon Dingler	—	vs Erick Fedde	57.1%	Hit
Pete Crow-Armstrong	—	vs Kevin Gausman	56.9%	Hit
Donovan Walton	—	vs Jeffrey Springs	56.8%	No Hit
Alex Bregman	—	vs Kevin Gausman	56.5%	Hit
Yohendrick Piñango	—	vs Ben Brown	56.5%	No Hit
Jac Caglianone	Kansas City Royals	vs Michael McGreevy	56.5%	Hit
Alejandro Kirk	—	vs Ben Brown	56.1%	No Hit
Gabriel Moreno	—	vs Connor Prielipp	55.7%	Hit
Corbin Carroll	Arizona Diamondbacks	vs Connor Prielipp	55.5%	Hit
Jose Siri	—	vs Jeffrey Springs	55.5%	Hit
Matt Shaw	—	vs Kevin Gausman	55.5%	No Hit

Model Highlights

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Pete Alonso. Model HR probability 17.9% — result: Home Run.

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